Mar

15

Interesting to see relative performance of SP and Nas with no overlap when both diverge over last 60 day, i.e. when one is up and the other down, how does it compete to random days in last 12 years.

I am very fortunate when algorithms aren't taking followers away because of their incorrect calculation that I am not progressive enough, I am greeted by advertisements for specials offers to buy NY times and offers to buy dairy queen chickens bites, that is shot across bow.

Go to office of handicapper general for punishment https://youtube.com/watch?v=T-4LZj_jGEE… to immerse yourself in Berkshire and NY times advertisements.

Proverb of the day from Tom Wiswell " some players never fall for the same trap twice. they are very good at finding new ways to lose. ( shout out to former President, and director of woke on algorithm).

Mar

12

back to new 1yr low for bonds' at 15794 basis March.

Defense dept. fires shot across the bow at news media. maintains steadfast defense of capitol with more force than in Afghanistan.. bonds at new low. very woke very bull.

Dr. cattle lobs critique 

The calm before the storm Monday 

Shocking prediction https://youtube.com/watch?v=T-4LZj_jGEE… when SP up and Nasdaq down over last 60 days? when bonds ware at new 6o day low is SP bear? hey all American from Martin Niederhoffer to coach Irons at Brooklyn college. Slow steady rise doesn't force bear out the frog.

Mar

12

Good movie on video , Kurt Vonnegot, the more you lose in sales, the more I give you of other peoples money. lesson on difference between sales and profits appropriate.

Keys to game. 1 will the SP break old high of 3954 set on 2 -15 -2021.

The more woke the more bull… suppression of impairment, forgiveness for certain farmers,, steady beat of the relentless rise to new highs, long time between drinks, money to certain groups , banning of right to work.

Finally the tech assuming their rightful lead over old faithful's . a la mode de rigeur, the way woke world should be.

The number of susceptible, those not already vaccinated to woke is keeps getting smaller. will there be enough to bring the SP to new high or will the market succumb to the English disease. 

Very thoughtful and valuable discussion of checker playing and proverbs on last two videos of Sennetttniederhoffer .

Mar

10

247 million false entries memorialized on big platform for Prez. 45- 69 million false entries memorialize for Prez 44. Luv Governor mentions before 25 and after 45 shows similar bull bias.

Advice from two greats: if you want to be creative "Walk " preferably in the woods or forest. Beethoven and Brahms waked an average of 4 hours a day in Vienna woods. school boys used to think Beethoven was madman as they met him murmuring and gesticulating on their way. The school boys met him going to school and the coming back from school. he yelled and howled as he was thinking of music because he was deaf.

"A spike and channel bear trend" https://investing.com/analysis/emini-big-reversals-in-middle-of-3week-trading-range-200566012… there's hope for counters as long as wsj espouses — 

Mar

9

"Caught my attention " , tightening, ' go big ", 350 billon Argentina, 15 weeks paid leave.

What could be more woke https://federalreserve.gov/foia/files/chair-yellen-calendar-062014.pdf… camp kinderland " go big ".

Mar

8

Rates  return graph of the triumphal trio yet but every since  their work appeared in 1997 which I first popularize dand reviewed  they have  been presenting work  that  pushed the expected return down by 5% or so a ear. I call  it the English disease. I have  tried to counter this  but they always have a new argument. they are like shiller in that content. I am not as facile now as I was 20 years ago, but I will find  time and they ability to understand their real return graph and then will  serif it part of the  English disease. However,  no one has more respect for the  triumphal  trio than I . 

Mar

8

I'll take a red sandwich on green. " life is tooo short to wake up in the morning with regrets".

This will go down with " baker did it" in the annals of disintegration. " the former president did it " 

Mar

8

K SUBSCRIBER, 6 minutes ago
These guys are clueless. No inflation?? Slack labor market???
Visit the world of manufacturing, with chronic shortages of everything, including skilled labor, and prices on everything going up 5-30%
Likethumb_up3 a very sagacious wsj reader.

I feel much secure with the thousands of national guard guarding the capital. it makes me doubly happy that there will be a stimulus bill. let us hope the statisticians return from camp kinder so that they can put the final touches on the need for employment.

The most bullish thing is the revulsion that thinking people will feel towards a certain letter to the wsj blaming others for the plight we are in now. this will love a significant number of voters who are needed to reverse the turn to agrarianism.

youtube.com/watch?v=2iqqAIZpp2c… protection from the putative takeover of the capital by the Guard.

The market is content with breaking on constructal level and one Sogi and flirts with second Sogi only to demur for some Kona coffee.

We let it all hang out. Japanese love hotels, big minima, forcing the weak out , total 8% move today better than entire move for year. all the woke things that fostered market along.

Mar

8

Nikkei refuses to stay below 29000.

Hello Mr. Sogi, perhaps we will meet in virtual Japan.

Free association https://google.com/search?q=camp+kinderland&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS920US920&oq=camp+kinderland&aqs=chrome..

69i57j46i175i199i275j35i39l2j0l3j0i22i30l3.20819j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8… the bls, ,weak hiring, Texas - Missouri ,plot that endangers capital and guard, not eating. 

Hello Mr. Sogi waves had a undertow. only 2 down to 1 am and 1o up after a bad previous day before employ I forgot to say that everything depends on the Nikkei. ca they keep the support as they did yesterday before capitulating Nikkei low is 28300.

Key to the game 1. the Japanese lose face by allowing the Nikkei to stay below 29000. 2. will the people at a certain bureau put the final touché on the number to insure that the stimulus bill is imperative especially planned parenthood and the relief for gov workers. Gov workers with children going to school online. Should they receive paid staycation for life like deserving farmers of color

Mar

8

Finally the chance gardener and fellow camp kinderland begin to realize at the 159 handle for bonds that something is not rite. at least it wont hurt the stimulus . that's the game I think.

Mar

2

https://jameslindlibrary.org/articles/charles-frederick-fred-mosteller-1916-2006/… attribute to a great m an and teacher. who had interests in poker, chess, magic, and folk dancing. the consummate teacher. a humble man. my thesis adviser. His autobiography the pleasure of statistics. His autobiography https://amazon.com/Pleasures-Statistics-Autobiography-Frederick-Mosteller/dp/0387779558… so many good people , so many memories, always ran through lectures a for 2 hours before giving them. was chairman of 4 Harvard faculty schools, started out in social relations with Talcott parsons. wrote many papers on runs.

Lessons from sports statistics: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/254330967_Lessons_from_Sports_Statistics 

goodreads.com/book/show/413617.Good_Bye_Mr_Chips… a English counterpart without the 555 contributions to research.

Mar

2

(Free associations) three strikes, " may I take the liberty ", governor, Dr. Seuss, earmarks, Nikkei down 330, bonds at161, diversity in boards, assistance from Dr wife, "the incorruptible" ,contagion . crude below $60.00, resolve of chance gardener for a day.

Feb

28

Statistics Question

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Barry  writes:

Hello Victor,

Hope all is well. I have been enjoying the YouTube videos you have been putting out.

I was wondering if the rules that apply to normal statistical tests should be as constrained when applied for financial data?

For example when comparing the mean returns of weeks following drops greater than 30% in something like bitcoin compared with it's weekly returns excluding those weeks if a tests value of 20% would be consistent with random as one might conclude with most other sciences or is that an indicator there could be something more meaningful to investigate?

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Thats a very good question  and  related to it is the supposition that a 20% prob of chance occurrence  mite be more p reductive of  a regularity in the future than a 5%  chance  statistics    I'm posting your query to the spec list since it doesn't  contain any meals for a day but is a meal for a life time.

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/28/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The Sennett niederhoffer regularity will appear on our zoom pod at 12 noon Sunday est.

Here's a good reference to Zellner on simplicity https://amazon.com/Simplicity-Inference-Modelling-Sophisticatedly-University/dp/B0087INE3M… as limned in the Sennett podcast.

The palindrome's philosophy was " what can you do for me tomorrow regardless of the past".

https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC85UPcd0vziV3C8ShkRvfCA… astonishing 5 day expectation, rasion deter for school closings, increased chances for stimulus bill, simplicity is setting up trades and backswings, preparations shout out to Jack Barnaby 1968.

Pres makes at least 2 references to running again in 2024. how non-woke. but bad for mega chances, thus good for market in long run. 

Savvitt game me lesson at century club and emphasized the continental grip but I think the most important part of video if loose swing, and they left out the torque leaning back.

Feb

28

Tweets-Feb/27/2021

February 28, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Looking at the 10year bond rates I see a roughly 1.5% yield and another 0.9% from rolling down the yield curve. Total carry ~2.4%
If you adjust that to match equity volatility you get multiplier of 2. So on vol/risk/duration adjusted basis bonds have 4.8% yield
Looking at 4.5%. I see it stands at 4.5%. Bonds have become again an equity competitor. Perhaps this is the start of the move of tectonic plates a thoughtful post from a though person Mr. Theo.

Turns out there is a very significant and useful regularity for the first day of month. however, despite the strenuous and perhaps not appreciated efforts of Ms. Sennett and myself, very few people are viewing our pods relative to our efforts. thus, if Ms. Sennett will.

Contact me we will put up a very short special Sunday video and report the regularity on our podcast.

Desperate old lions fighting to hold off the young lions gradually making them obsolete.  The regularity is not obvious and I have not seen it elsewhere

Mr. Kennedy Fuld Jr. asks who is MR. Sogi? he is a man for all seasons who surfs and observes much about the gravitationally impact of 50's , and loves a good coffee among other things. he is interviewed in our videos.

Mr. Tdt aske me if I have been drinking. I never drink within weeks of trading because drinking like orgasms makes you too loose and too easy going to ascend the hard road to trading for a profit. 

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/26/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Hello Mr. Sogi I'm delighted that you're doing some evening surfing..is their disconsolate or hope among your colleagues in Japan?

An ecological fact. " mosquitos have amplifiers on them".

The NEW Rotisserie-style Chicken Bites are perfect alone or any way you want to eat them. Finally, unbreaded, tender, juicy chicken that doesn’t need anything else to stand out. #HappyTastesGood

 

470.3 the new ads of the sages firm, not as "humorous" as Geiogo ads.

"At least we were able to press stocks back up and out supporters are coming back " heard with eggs benedict as former chairman shook their heads/ "" but unless we get the bonds above 16000, well look bad".

google.com/search?q=zillow+stock+price&oq=zillow+stock+price&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i20i131i263i433j0l8.16159j1j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8… great move to buy homes direct and price action good but not enough diversity.

Feb

26

Tweets-Feb/24/2021

February 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A note passed to chance gardener before hearings., somethings not rite? you cant just support the them. "Show them your force" captain Aubrey.

What tom would whisper to chance gardener " we're in over our head . better simplify. "" interrupt eggs benedict breakfast with woke counterpart? 

Professor Biden can you catch a basketball with chop sticks? The professor matriculated at mit hoping to play on the basketball team. but he couldn't afford the price of sneakers and mit policy prohibited any financial aid to athletes.

Bonds creeping up from 16000 handle, lunch interrupted in fed dining hall? A visit with Pres adviser? what will happen to all the earmarks and pork in stimulus bill? The more woke the more bull.

One can pretend to see all and be pleased that bonds are back in 16000 handle proving that a man who doesn't know gnp for the last quarter and has no training in e economics can not jolly bonds to ever higher levels by emphasizing that the stimulus is needed. 

Recall that on a one day binary forecast the red days are most bull for Sp ( as documented on Tues feb23 video apologies for the tec glitches on Feb 24 video but what was said about frog and constructal numbers and Japanese resilience is timeless despite my lapses. 

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/23/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

There stands Mr. Sogi teetering amid the waves will the Nikke tide be helpful?

The Japanese never give up. the bull market remains intact.

Helllo Dr. bejan. have the yellowed you to see any basketball lately. 

After 3 bad years in early 2000's QQQ outperformed SPY by a large amount. this chart is referred to in our video giving up dates of performance of best stocks versus worst. growth wins out. good thing to do is to replace spider with qqq I think 

Welcome back to Dr Castaldo from Italy after 5 months with his parents. the chart and data is his handiwork.  

youtube.com/watch?v=acVLNQG_YVo… Nikkei never surrender, Nasdaq versus spider.

Insights into startling offensive behavior, gestalt psychology, the Nikkei never surrendering a 30000, growth versus value over 20 years, very woke day good for market, and prediction as to when 39000 will be breached.

Must have been some heavy broker would have liquidated you when margin reduced to 3000.. but never complain you would have had 2 minutes to get a bank wire to them at 940.

Feb

24

Tweets-Feb/22/2021

February 24, 2021 | Leave a Comment

youtube.com/watch?v=PmIh7JtzaYM… the trickster.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=w8uL-lxVpwE&feature=youtu.be… 

Video contains constructal sig of Nikkei, binary splits predicting SP next day, results of buying the best, shout out to everchanging cycles, predictions meals for lifetime.

In their quiet and respectful way, Nikkei refuses to sink below 30000. also a lagniappe the absurdity of sheller analysis, no interest rates, 10 years  moving averages as absurd predictor of current earnings, part hole correlations, always bearish non wonder won the prize.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/21/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A good read for publics stranded in last year's habitats.

coreknowledge.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/CKSci_G3_U3_Habitats-and-Change_SR.pdf 

It is distressing to have a 2007 article posted when I wouldn't and couldn't talk to the author because of positions. I held that would have been fodder for the adversaries. I have learned my lessons in 1997 and not sold put since because of the conspiracies among the 2 or three market markers and their control of the margins required and the high bid ask spreads I of 100% or so in getting out of positions before expiration my injunction never short anything has deep resilience. I try to maintain a dignified and helpful posting and it is unfortunate to be greeted by miscreants who bear a grievance against me.

The older we get, the thinner the skin around the privates. However, I suffered a stroke 3 years ago, and my ability to play, piano, racket sports and type is grossly and egregiously curtailed.

It's good to know that I have so many friends on this list. I try. I would recommend that all look at daily speculations com for some fine work on the buying the best companies. It's all on the spec list. To get on spec list send me request with your email.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/20/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

I will offer a prize money of $1500 to the best study of the performance of buying the best performing individual stocks in a period. Do take account of survivor bias. I make the same offer to the spec list bu gramercy keeps preventing me from sending it.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/19/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

As octopus as sentient s humans mite be worthwhile to consider reducing consumption of octopus.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/18/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Round numbers beached from upside. Nikkei 30000 , SP3900… will the non-quarterly expiration breach numbers from downside? NY numbers guess yes.

studio.youtube.com/video/lu9ij58S3wU/edit… meals for a life time in this. buying momentum, in individual stocks, bitcoin breaking thru , deception galora in opens, the octopus as master of deception, importance of constructal numbers at all.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Wos8kouz810… better to study this for market insights than 90% of market books.

Feb

21

Tweets-Feb/17/2021

February 21, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The top trophic levels against new and existing entrants to lowest, level "The coordinated effort by Wall Street, the media, and Big Tech to crash meme stocks’ meteoric rise is just one of many that "make pubic lose so much more than they have rite to lose" zero hedge.

 https://youtube.com/watch?v=92nG8EfzsVI… Nadal loses to wristy opponent. How not to play tennis for both.

How not to trade with wristy trades like tsitsipas shots. Sporadic rises like tsisspiw.

Feb

16

Tweets-Feb/16/2021

February 16, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Bitcoin having breached the Sogi level of 50000 , and Nikkei breaching 30000 , everything in consilience. my bearish forecast established at 3952.50 become less unlikely.

Guaranteed to happy. the more an area prospers the greater the hammer to reduce pursuit of happiness. 

Wolfies delicates. significance covered in Sennett Niederhoffer podcast today at 530pm est today.

Guaranteed to happen white shoe firm offers its expertise to 8 million new investors as regulatory agencies investigate the ephemeral profits before buying banned.

The way I heard it. ruby and grandparents move form Katz to Wolfies in winter. 

Feb

15

Last Train

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

To paradise: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=henry+flagler+last+train+to+paradise&crid=2K4P028N815Z3&sprefix=

train+to+paradise+henry%2Caps%2C166&ref=nb_sb_ss_ts-doa-p_1_23   tells the story of a great adventures and benefactor of  Florida and the country  written in 20002 without the cancel  culture exerting too much of these influence. highly regomme3nde and inspiring as to what an man of integrity and the books  should aspire to.

Jeffery Watson writes:

That book is a must read for anyone who loves the history of Florida. 

Tim Melvin writes:

The authors fiction books set in Florida are also outstanding reads.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/15/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Many construtal goals achieved today Nikkei 30000, crude 60000, bonds 16500 - /

I'll take the plunge and reduce all my longs to 0%.. also a sogi at 3950, only waiting for bitcoins 50000 to complete harmonization. but you cant have everything SP up about 10 days in row.

Mr Ag trades notes that I've achieved more follower today than in the past 2 years combined.. " why" algo must have finally seen my repeated posts " the more woke we were the more bullish it is".

even Jim Lorie once closed out his longs in early 1987. He sold at 320 sp.. he held not long until SP 450 until October 19/1987 then when baker did it and SP swooned to 320 again he covered his shorts alngnd vowed never to remain less than 200%.

Back lash against Florida to ban travel so as not to let certain states of another color look bad. Reminds me of Hobo keeley said " I should pay him to be around me because he's the only person that makes me look good in comparison.

Grandfather's martin's working as Irving berlin's accountant before trading with the boy wonder as I hold shorts.

Feb

15

Three Point

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer writes:

Phil Musia in the post has an article about  how the three point shot which has gone up to 80 per game from 20 years ago is ruining the basketball game.  What aspects of markets have changed for the worse in the last 20 years? 

Penny Brown writes:

What's worse?  The abandonment of the up tick rule for shoring.

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/13/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Nobody aske me but there is more and more buzz about interest rates going up . expect the 165 handle on Monday.

Example of Florida and its heroes receiving "short stick " these days https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Flagler 

One is calling for a substantial decline in sp starting in a few days. what would be a good place to maintains assets in for the duration rather than shorting sp which is ruinous, deathly, and against the drift.

Nobody asked me but sessile predators ,( carnivores e.g) get more prey per effort t than mobile predators. would the same apply to markets?

Cattle trader who is usually right on point calls for a crash?? that's very dangerous and ruinous. so many I know have called for same and ended in the hoosegow. Be very careful with a exact non-delphic prediction like that. 

2 thins. Please remember not to send me things that could be construed as non- woke. like the shout that Florida mentons are becoming increasingly woke. 2 what is Mr. Wallon lately my most sensible followed.

 

Feb

15

Tweets-Feb/12/2021

February 15, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Slowly but surely the bonds set one 6 month minimum after another ( not without giving longs in bonds some hope).

The showboating and wasted energy and distractions with the antis of Kyrgios was the cause of the loss to them. Its a good model for what not to do with your trades. slow but steady and not boasting is the key. 

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/11/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

So far this month start out with a green ,then 4 yellows in a row. then green yellow green. Somehow SP gone up 8 days in a row.

You have to hand it to chance gardener. He's been consistently talking about how employment is a long way down from where it should be including before the election and yesterday.. so far I've seen no talk about replacing him. 

https://foxnews.com/us/fort-worth-texas-vehicle-freeway-crash-fatalities-injuries… nobody asked me but all over we are getting reports of unusually cold climate conditions, never happened in fort worth"  Nobody asked me but the horde of new investors opened by Robin Hood and their ilk is a boo for the infra structure as they will pay inordinate bid asked spreads and concentrate their volume near the highs, and give shrewd brokers a chance to margin them into oblivion.

Nobody asked me but the so by some measures has gone up 8 days in a row that's neutral but for sure it has gone up 8 two days in a row. that  happened 8 times since 2011 . slightly neutral for the two day at the close of SP to be up it would have to close at 4pm est at 3909. I use the 415 as close.

Nobody aske me but in addition to foregoing notifying me of non-work things, readers should forego sending me things about global cooling as presumably the powers that be will punish all by taking away followed. I has lost most than 1000 followers in past 2 months.

Thank you as my venerable father used to say " I will be the healthiest person 6 feet under"

Bill was a great marital arts man practiced boxing every day, made more than 8000 arrests.( may have been a record) he would punch himself on head hard a nd then asked al the people I the bar whether they wished to go peacefully. And thus the selfish price end sup by 0.25 and stays within a 0.50 range from Monday close to Thursday close. I t induces many progeny to share it's price on the pod cast today i mistakenly said it was very bearish. However, it doesn't become very bearish until the 18th or 20th of this month. nothing now to stop the bull market. but near the end of February express according to the stats a tremendous decline.

Left out from your analysis is that  market tell the story of inflation. almost all markets from grains to livestock to  cattle to every stock market with the Nikei approaching 3000 and the us approaching 40000 are at all time high including crude at a 11  month high and up.

https://econlib.org/hume-hockey-sticks-and-the-great-forgetting/… article saying that inflation is danger without taking into account commodity prices.

I played a hard game of tennis doubles against George Schults and George Tigler. with Jim Lorie as my partner . they were both very fine gentleman and fine tennis players B+. they both were instrumental in my career as well. problem was that Jim had very bad eyesight and called a serve as Tigler's out which was clearly in. I dint want too correct Jim because it would have embarrassed him and both the George's vowed correctly never to play us again. I still regret my silence 60 years later.

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/10/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Amazingly japan didn't. and euro apparently japan so busy with Olympics that overnight attendance at love hotels was distracting. e.g.. they weren't privy to inflation number in advance that isn't cricket. by the way what was inflation number are they still disregarding current level of every commodity price?

Old hearted man's favorite indicator the ratio of crypto to stock market valuation is decreasing age's favorite indicator see daily speculations com have you tested that? 

dailyspeculations.com/Letter/songs%20of%20speculation.html… correction ratio of QNP value to SP valuation. 

Better version https://youtube.com/results?search_query=stout+hearted+men+male+voice+choir 

Feb

11

Tweets-Feb/9/2021

February 11, 2021 | Leave a Comment

"I would like to get up and tell you that this nightmare is over, but here I am," after the match, v " I'm already on the ground, you shoot me. I ask for a little mercy. It hurts me because I train like a madman and it doesn't work. When the guy is down, don't shoot him."

This is from Qael Monfils . but it represents what is the culture of how the ordinary man( the forgotten woman( responds to losses. anything else would create a backlash. by the way, watching Monfils play is a treat.

Amazing not a 20 day hi. missed it by 0.25.

Interesting paper from marginal revolution that leaves out the high positive correlation between beauty and intelligence vhttps://www.dropbox.com/s/j43okuoakvsm36h/Pretty2021Jan29.pdf?dl=0 

youtube.com/watch?v=FDxfyX_ESuE… the good old boy wishes to stay young.

Feb

9

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/the-stock-market-has-never-been-this-big-relative-to-the-economy-signaling-it-could-be-overvalued.html     
The above article contains 1000 fallacies  it is a good exercise  for any student wishing to understand equities to unravel this. More to the point how would you  ascertain the correct relation between earnings and stock price in the aggregate and for individual companies.

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/8/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Tremendous abundance of green on screet, partridge. " its's a bull market"

Hope is father to the thought. There have been 17 occasions since 2011 where we had exactly 4 yellows in a row.. 3 days later the sp is up 70% of time slightly positive expect.

Something has to happen.. the range since the 6 pm open is only 10 points not enough for members to relieve the weak of chips from being undercapitalized.

The older we get' the better we were. I won the us nationals 10 times in a row ( counting the 5 times I didn't play because of faith base restrictions. what more could I have done. 

Regrettably I was taught to slide the backhand .with a proper backhand I believe I would have been equal to or surpassed Sharif who is a fine gentleman unfortunate now afflicted with a stroke like me.

 

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/6/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

There is beauty in the fall of bottom feeders

Its only when you are physically or mentally superior that envy from others doesn't force you down to conform to current cultural values. Elon musk is a good example of a wilt chamberlin of business. comparisons to the founders of tech firms would be interesting.

 

Feb

9

Tweets-Feb/4/2021

February 9, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Keys to the game: 1, can we reach the new constructal number of 3900 . 2, will the big rise that has occurred from 830 to 840 in past leaks of the number continue. 3, will the long bond hit the 166 handle thereby creating a temporary barrier around lunch time.

47 years, speaking fee of 800000, do not reduce it.

As old turkey told 5 times bankrupt j. livermore, " its a bull market" stop the ephemeral stuff and yet there should be some deception until 1 pm. The point of the pole picture is that despite the school closings , people are laughing and smiling and uxorious in Florida.

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/4/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Relentless rise to all time high with little duplicity today to shake some weak public out?

Hats off Mr. Sogi singing in Tokyo .reflected singing for Gaijn.

https://google.com/search?q=game+stop+stock+price&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS920US920&oq=game+&aqs=chrome.

0.69i59j69i57j69i59l2j35i39j69i60l3.3586j1j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8… what could be better for Infrastructure , Members, banks, Sp at all time high. renegades taught terrible lesson. 

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/3/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A shocking day with every market u p a little with little or no range and bonds refusing to hit the `at 167 handle which would be 3 month low as meeting with the great deceiver beckons.

The next time the Bpttp, feeders dare tp take on the infrastructures, there will be great hesitation. presumably that will be emphasized at the ageist meeting today.

https://m.timesofindia.com/city/mumbai/bees-halt-hungry-elephants-eyeing-crops-cut-human-animal-conflict/amp_articleshow/80609181.cms… the bees had their day against the infrastructure.

The only question is with a low range like firm from 3840 to 3825 over night, how do the members generate churng and vig. one thing for sure . it will be unusual. 

The us mint is limiting purchases so that only selected dealers can buy it. what else is new. The drive to protect the publics from itself in all areas especially at the -da.

twitter.com/tylercowen/header_photo… anything by Tyler cowen is worth reading. here's one of his books that explains the reason that Nasdaq is up and value stocks bring up he rear.

Feb

5

Tweets-Feb/2/2021

February 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Bonds in the 97 handle finally showing effect of unlimited crony spending.

Feb

1

Tweets-Jan/30/2021

February 1, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Should be a very good week starting Monday in the wee hours.

It is chaos for the ephemeral time that some of the bottom feeders ( the public( make profits at the expense of the top feeders ( the big hedge funds and the members and the high frequency traders. this too shall pass.

Feb

1

Tweets-Jan/29/2021

February 1, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Silly headlines going around. " ride is not over" 2. stocks fall below 3 month bull channel. 3 stock s fall below the open of Jan4. stocks fall as worries of a short squeeze resurfaced to army of amateur investors

Nasdaq at constructal levels of 13000 and 12900 playing turkey while Sogi dries off from surfing and relaxes with his Kona.

How about a strong Monday tomorrow and perhaps a reasonable close today

I know that most comments are well meaning. however, please under no circumstances communicate to me any messages or posts that are not woke as I lose all subscribers as the powers that be mistakenly conclude that I am not woke and should be canceled.

Jan

30

Tweets-Jan/29/2021

January 30, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Silly headlines going around. " ride is not over" 2. stocks fall below 3 month bull channel. 3 stock s fall below the open of Jan4. stocks fall as worries of a short squeez resurfaced to army of amateur investors.

Mr. Sogi stands drinking coffee solid as a stone wall.

Jan

29

Tweets-Jan/28/2021

January 29, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A reader from Europe asks where can he buy Kona coffee and what is an acceptable price. coffee is one of the areas that i am ignorant of. but will a woke reader answer please.

Thanks for the readers answer on woke coffee. to be ignorant of your ignorance is the malady of the ignorant. i am ignorant of most things except for the defunct game of hard ball squash.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trevor_Chappell… it isn't crickets for the public to be making money at expense of the infrastructure. similar to the hunts when the exchange banned buying and then realized all gains on their previous losses thru the courts. hunt was good rackets player. 

Jan

27

Tweets-Jan/27/2021

January 27, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Stay close to your desks https://youtube.com/watch?v=IJRt2a45uqk… to be played at 2 pm.

https://idealist.org/en/nonprofit/a520022b52e543af8e24d9cacebc8631-camp-kinderland-brooklyn… how does one get a speaking engagement there.

Thank you for the Kona coffee below 3750.

youtube.com/watch?v=2ozLsqnLasw… Janet Yellen monitories situation in hot stocks.

Jan

27

Tweets-Jan/26/2021

January 27, 2021 | Leave a Comment

https://wsj.com/articles/the-day-trading-barbarians-at-the-gate-wont-sack-wall-street-11611660505… it isn't cricket used to provide nutrients for infrastructure.

Public to provide food for those on higher trophic levels as bacon would say " the public has no rite to be ahead of the form especially when the trainers are betting against them the horse that were shipped from Florida to NY. are now getting accustomed to track.

https://sites.google.com/view/casinoreviews/blog/the-ideology-behind-online-casino-games… first and foremost rule " the House Must Win".

Its not cricket the public is winning , some top feeders are losing. . the Fed is part of the infrastructure. and they have to do something to stop the public from winning. expect them to beg forbearance from fellow colleagues at Treasury and House and to do something bear.

There must be a winning team in south of NY . action must be taken. high frequency trading must continue apace,  so however, a temporary cessation of bullish profits for the public will be enough to extend reliance on agrarian ideas.

A very sagacious man tweets that a agrarian woman will be yelling. I disagree. one thing we can all agree on is that the be all and end all is for the trophic levels, the sharks to eat the bass —- to be upheld even if two days may lose some gamester support.

Don't expect any pointed posts from me tomorrow( i try to keep them innocuous as I lose a google of followers every time i stray from the Woke.) I have 5 health procedures scheduled for tomorrow culminating in the draining of my left leg which is bigger than Game Stop rise.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Bf4-SBA2Ed8…
 

The time to stop this infernal topsy turvy market where the bags are temporarily losing to the public. and the serial correlation that supports this in part. But remember old turkey partridges adman. ITs a bull market. after two days look for bull and yet. if it goes down too much before the announcement , a stern meeting at the camp Kinsella woodworking commune may be scheduled in order to varnish a few words.

Jan

26

Tweets-Jan/25/2021

January 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A new niche with eg. soybeans from $9.00 to $13.00 in 4 months after staying below $8.000 for five years. , nas broke 135000 for new high today versus 7000 one year ago, and every stock market at new highs. what happens in a new niche , régime like this.

Does the population grow inregimesl like this?? or do the resources provide for the various species. is there competitive exclusion> these questions relate to the current niche

https://foxnews.com/health/fauci-backs-double-masking-in-coronavirus-fight-says-likely-more-effective… dr. cattle will not answer whether previous admin responsible for thousands of deaths

The coffee was very bigger and ephemeral and had to be taken very light. bonds seem to be exuberant based on the friendship of chance gardener and Miss Kinsella.

Jan

26

Tweets-Jan/22/2021

January 26, 2021 | Leave a Comment

youtu.be/wRquqNUKrT4

A duplicity to create havoc after yesterdays calm

Jan

22

Learn

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

What can we learn and what insights do the football  games and quan regularities has to teach us about markets. I often feel that the 50 years zone is  transition to likely touchdown as is the 80 to 100 level the redone where  it is likely to go to 100.

Eric Lindell   writes:

I've found that general knowledge of shenanigans can be helpful. Consider deflategate, where Tom Brady/Patriots were accused of using deflated footballs.

Careful review of highlight reel shows intentionally missed passes by the Colts, which even the announcer noticed.

Deflated footballs were used as a minor cheating scandal to conceal a much more serious one. They were also used to create the illusion that the Colts were resisting Patriots' attempt to cheat.

It was partly because Brady and concomitant shenanigans moved to the Buccaneers that I predicted a good season for them. I still do.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/21/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Interview with Sogi, the importance of 50's and 100's, a maximum of woke-ity

https://youtube.com/watch?v=zZ6MWHrjYOg

It's not cricket, European range was so small (less than 10 points) that the public wasn't forced out of positions … yet

Sogi interview has important life lessons on surfing, coffee, and books. Sogi is a man for all seasons.. highly recommended.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/20/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Happy days all time highs in all stock markets except German. The less capitalistic we are the higher we go.

Jack Barnaby " the older we get the better we were" ( I had salaam 13-10 in the fifth game and then I fooled him with a reverse corner and he was so astounded he had to readjust his jock. etc.)

The Sennet victor podcast will interview Mr. Sogi at 530 pm et. today Jan 20. well all learn something and revive some soulful thought of a very good man.

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/19/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Structural numbers beckon at 30000 Nikkei, 38000 sp. what else?

Today we discuss sports betting as well as differences between public and private infrastructure. 

http://youtube.com/video/yFqRM_cOStM

Jan

22

Tweets-Jan/18/2021

January 22, 2021 | Leave a Comment

What can we learn from football tactics based on where you are relative to midfield and how close you are to a fist down 10 pts and the red zone that will help us with market tactics?

One expects that I will break my record of losing followers on my post about football as I have lost of each of the last 15 posts there is nothing about the incumbent or woke in it I think.

For sure the level of analysis in sports betting e.g. vsin is much more sophisticated than anything used in market forecasting.

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/17/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Mr. Sogi do you like sushi with y our Kona coffee while watching the game with the ball pass the 50 year line of the adversary.

Mr Sogi you're close to your favorite red zone. may i suggest you go with your Japanese recent hires? 

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/15/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Now one ascertains why it was down overnight

https://youtu.be/ghIiTR7l9_g

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/14/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Allis Halcyon on the round front.

youtu.be/j35x-DwViio 

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/13/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

The purpose of markets, the lessons from the palindromes break of the bank on the British pounds, the secret of gaining traction for your position and a general reprieve of the market that's more informative than any other.

https://investopedia.com/articles/forex/08/greatest-currency-trades.asp… on the contrary the worst currency trade ever see the pod cast.

youtu.be/5L47Kh5DHGM holding fire, bonds resist inflation, constructal numbers everywhere , Nikkei 30000.

Jan

18

Tweets-Jan/12/2021

January 18, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Its not cricket the range so far has only been 20 points. that's not enough to create normal vig and profits for infrastructure by forcing out the undercapitalized public thru moves they cant accommodate due to deplorable capital.

What is the game where the pitcher didn't allow the batters a clear shot by ruling it to the batter.

What the weather like at Duke professor and how are my daughter and his husband Chris doing at their schools. are their taking advantage of the constructs in their studies and life? how does it relate to medical and law schools as well as markets?"

A change in guard after 5 consecutive days down. could it temporaries halt like damn the constructal number in Sp.

Amazing that five down days inbounds didn't break the Sp relentless rise to new high. but a 1 day rise in bonds insufficient to send tocks up by almost a %

Would everybody kindly refrain from sending me non-woke material of any kid to this account as I have lost 10% of my followers in the past 2 weeks presumably do to algorithms to prevent non-woke.

The big catholic schools would pay bklyn college football team a huge amount to come to their home. so they could demolish the boys from BKLYN. the average score against bklyn was 72-3 . a touch back didn't count as a negative points so their score was positive like my followers.

Jan

12

 

Victor Niederhoffer  writes:

How many things can you think of that were not cricket in the recent election https://thenewdaily.com.au/sport/cricket/2018/03/28/underarm-bowling-incident/

Stefan Jovanovich  writes:

In terms of electoral accounting, this was a particularly nasty
election; but it was hardly exceptional. Compared to what happened in
New York in 1884, the cheating by the Democrats in Pennsylvania in 2020
barely rises above the level of "if you ain't cheating, you ain't competing" which has been the standard ever since the qualifications for
voting stopped including property ownership (the 1820s).

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Herb London used to say that  1/2 million votes were always relieved in NYC election for governors. its was a hard takes for him 50% of the
electorate worked for noon- service paying orgs like the un or the  city
and state govs. Add in the 500000 votes and he was behind 60%  of
votes before  the Staten Island politician could eviscerate hims
further. but what  i was referring to was the " not cricket :" like the
delay in the big pharma announcement and the  stimulus bill and the Dr.
cattle   propaganda and the suppression of news about the son.

Stefan Jovanovich  writes:

Yes.  There is nothing in that 19th century election - even the
propaganda against Blaine for being "anti-Catholic" - that comes close
to what we have lived through in the age of democracy not dying in
darkness.

Jan

12

Galton on Politics

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Why a slight switch in sentiment can cause a landslide of change.  I'll
get the exact quote somewhat  later but this is good  concerning the
tendency of oxen and human to have a preference for slavery

Penny Brown writes: 

A quote from Maxim du Camp - friend of Flaubert: "Revolution is always
the same: initiated by simpletons, helped along by fools, pushed through
by rogues and then taken over by the opportunists who do quite well."

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/11/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

A round number is never a penumbra.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military%E2%80%93industrial_complex replaced by congressional tcho-loy complex.

Little john, Frier tuck, special purpose vehicles Harvard invite to buy venture capital thru them, a plenitude of yellow.

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/10/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

" Its a bull market " partridge.

Jan

12

Tweets-Jan/8/2021

January 12, 2021 | Leave a Comment

I had an insight from a dream last nite.the secret is to buy when the news is bad. do the opposite of what it seems like you should do from a psychology of spec book of http://1900.buy when the public is most negative concerning the prospects.
 
Nasdaq breached another constructional number at 13000. bitcoin on way to Sogi coffee number at 44400.. Nikkei must reach 30000 now at 28400.
 
Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/08 https://youtu.be/3DVMDAisu-E via@YouTube

 

Jan

8

My picture of the chairs office without room for a private hairdresser was in bad taste as i came during the protests i apologize, what I said about g and s having more freedom to ridicule the unified gov than we have was true but it was inappropriate at moment.

During the march of the peers in Iolanthe G and S HAD Them costume and masked as infamous peers of the day. i performed in the show 60 years ago directed by Nancy Lorie, Jim's first wife who every year directed a different G and S show as a fund raiser for the Lab school. Imagine a performance today with some peers dressed as persons of color, others in orange,, and a personage of age with her hair in curlers.

Quant points out that last night. I was bearish because of increase service rates spending and progressive control of capital and the dire prospects for R's in future. I was wrong,after being bull for 1000 pts first rise today before playing it for the contractual 3800.

I am very fallible especially when I relate market to qualitative things and when I give up buy and hold.

https://youtu.be/y8P-k0Lrjkk 

Stocks at an all-time high, bonds at a 7 month low. NASDAQ at an all-time high near a constructal number of 13,000. Stick to buy-and-hold and don't be swayed by qualitative bad news. 

Jan

8

You can't give a beaten dog a break. All the news that the incumbent cased for just 11000 votes is a terrible bowdlerizing of what the conference calls was. the incumbent presented 8 strands of falsity in the tallys including one by a notorious ballot stuffer. And he said that given he claims and will document hundreds of thousands of votes taken away from him or falsely given to the challenger. ,, all he need sis 11000 votes; the conference call was secretly recorded by the republicans on the voting committee in Georgia. why?

Your own man. on the Spe list we have had any discussions of the street game where there is a dispute about a call and the other side points out that "your own man " said you were out. Secretary Raffenberger and the other repubs are perfect example of that.. they are obviously trying their hardest to sink the incumbent whole claiming that the voted for r's etc. and that they recounted twice. The leaked tape t o embarrass the incumbent and the 25 calls he made unrequited is another indicia. the dee p state and the swamp are contagious not only is 95% against the r's because they among other things they are paid by increasing government but they are hauling out every technique form street games and other games of duplicate to make it seems that they are non-partisan crude joins t he fray at construal number and inflationary signal that academic research will be hauled out to show it don't matter with everything else at high also change in form and tempo and wokity Tech will not have as clear sailing to use their big horns to out compete non-tech business. should be reversal of form for value stocks another change in form in favor of big horns.

Wsj editorial reply

(Edited) 

Actually the disaster is going to occur if the Democrats: stack the Supreme Court, continue to support the black victimization industry, bail out the free-spending and almost bankrupt Democratic states of Connecticut, New Jersey, and Illinois.

Wsj editorial response continued 

Cancel student debt, bring in Medicare for all having already trashed a good part of the private health insurance market with Obamacare, re-enter Iran nuclear deal, keep cozying up to Cuba, continue bleeding the military budget to pay for domestic.

editorial continued  

Defund the police, excuse self important intelligentsia that all white people are racist, continue to block charter schools, be hostage to teachers unions, consolidate more power in wash" Why the market is down 35 since D'S won Georgia.

Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/05 https://youtu.be/S1d6WcCOeMk via @YouTube

Nie discussion of trend following unindividual stocks, the three greatest investors, bitcoin as sponge for woke and inflation, what really happened in conf call, inflation galore, big horn sheep as big tech, "your own man" et al in Jan 5 sonnet Vic podcast. Yes the great genius chess champion often played chess at w.4th street beach while I played paddles a block away, unfortunately the water didn't transmit his genius to me, but I had seven wonderful kids more than he amazing that at of 11 30 pm from 6pm,est the  Sp futures have swung above and below the construal number of 3700 8 times— doing it again as I write- 

Jan

5

Perfect Example

January 5, 2021 | Leave a Comment

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Of our favorite technique from street games " your own ma" the r's in Georgia  loudly proclaim that they voted r's but at the same time they are obviously string their hardest to sink the incumbent.  How can you fight the system when everyone is against you and they are hauling out every technique to make you look bad. Who is this notorious ballot stuffer that the   Georgia elected official had in a prominent position. And which the incumbent said was alone in the office with the suitcase of 100% voted or d's. the conference call claimed 7 or 7 deferent kinds of abuse and it was taken out of context by all media to say that the incumbent want just 11000 votes. I often was visited with a biased referee in squash who was against me because I was not from Merior or the prep schools or because I was Jewish. Osborne tried to help me. and I still remember how the finals of the championship was stolen from me when the referee called a ball down on me which he had never done. In other words, play was going on and there was no appeal but he shout out down. It doesn't seem important in retrospect but it prevent me from winning the world championship when I was 18 years old. the incumbent has to fight 4 millions against him and the forces against him are contagious to make matters worse.

Zubin Al  writes: 

Indeed, it’s the coordinated powers of the world against one man (a man in the most powerful position in the world). Trump has been an existential threat to China’s path to economic superpower status, an existential threat to the Climate Action 100+ coordination/cooperation, and an existential threat to the swamp. To what extent would they go to remove him?  It seems we are seeing it. “Whatever it takes.”  Tomorrow and the days ahead may be total chaos.

Jan

5

There was some talk responsive to what regularities are in play now that the first day of year was down more than ever before. with I think a facetious shout out to me, i.e. " he has every regularity quantified" if only that were true and more to point if only the regularities weren't subject to Bacon's law, i.e.. Irhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2021/01/04.

You can't keep a good man down. After the biggest sell-off to start any year (150 pts), the market ended only 1.5% off the all-time high. Everything depends upon the Georgia election tomorrow. 

Jan

5

With topsy turvy and woke and margin debt at all time high and the small investors marking money in options spec purp vehicles and momentum, and Georgia in play for d's, I revisit the likelihoods and note after big highs near the last trading day of year, not so hot.

Please tell me how with every market at a high, the inflation are going to be very worrisomely high the next few //ac=announcements or are we still going with all the crazy academic research that says that markets don't matter and are just temporary blips.

We start with a drink of Kona coffee from Mr. Sogi as the market plays footsie with his favorite coffee level of 3750.

Jan

4

https://youtu.be/3VniS6ObNNE
Niederhoffer Sennett Daily Market Web 2020/12/30
Predictions for the end of the year! Harvard leads from behind, a forerunner of venture capital crash.

Jan

4

There is something poetic, inevitable, fateful, and nonstructural about the year end closing prices for markets. Every market closed at a absolute high. the grains, the softs, the meats, the European stocks, the Japanese, the SP and the Nasdaq. just the bonds at 17300 in middle the of last day of year was in a sense recap of the whole year. the SP was down 1/2 % at 4:am but then went up 1% to a new high at the close. and all this happened with wokenss at a high. The betting odds now favor the d's to win in Georgia and control everything. The Fang controlled 40% of the increase in wealth of the SP in line with Pareto's law. The Pres was at the height of popularity and the nadir. What can we see excet that the Markets loves socialism. the cancel culture of the university and the media and the education system, the contagion of living in the swamp, with 95% in favor of the deep state has reached a climax of wokenss and wealth for all the progenitors. those who saw a disastrous drop in business and a terrible precedent for individuality and capitalism led from behind. Its a topsy turvy world.

what will be have for next year. a big rise in December has been quite bull until end of Fed according to seasonal. with everything else topsy turvy we dare not predict beyond the technical.

I could add to the all time highs as readers have pointed out, the European and Japanese currencies and the real estate in non-coastal cities. perhaps the bell weather was bitcoin the new signaler of inflation and wokenss to come closing at 29400 and dragging old fashioness conservative gold to a 1 month high of 1900.

An excellent study of trend following in individual stocks https://cis.upenn.edu/~mkearns/finread/trend.pdf… from 2005. anyone have an update?

I see that my former tennis partner noble winner has study that value stocks out perform growth stocks . I've found that nothing he reports is valid and would guess that growth stocks on a going forward basis will continue to outperf as Nas outperformed SP by 22% this year.

Dec

31

Zubin Al  writes: 

Each year I like to count the number of private jets parked during the holidays at the local FBO.  Many of the worlds richest people have homes here such as Bill Gates, Roberts of KKR, Charles Schwab, The Go Daddy guy, Dave Roux of Silverlake Partners…  and they all have private jets. The theory is that the rich know what's going on with the economy and is a tell for the future.

There are notably fewer jets this year. I counted 18 on Christmas and will update later today  on my way to foil big waves at the beach past the airport.  Usually the lot overflows to park jets on Maui and Oahu with 40 or more.

My take (and in theory the captain's of industry take)  is that this thing is not going to be over this next year, and will drag on.

Victor Niederhoffer  writes: 

Mr. Sogi I have had  numerous requests to interrupt you on my blog. when and  would you be a good time for that?

Zubin Al  writes: 

Usually around 1 pm Hawaii Time, maybe next week would be fine.  I just ask that you don't put me on the "spot" as you normally do when you ask me questions.  Pitch me some lobs for easy answers so I can avoid sounding too bad. 

Dec

31

Tweets-Dec/30/2020

December 31, 2020 | Leave a Comment

A sensible comment to a WSJ editorial of Holman Jenkins I bet there are more people suffering from anxiety and depression than there are people who died from the virus. All those small businesses that have closed. The isolation and disruption to your every day routines. 

Incumbent continues to do his best to reduce chances.

Bilious headline " us stocks drop after hope fades for expanded aid" 

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/29/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

An abundance of yellow and abundance of all time highs for SP.

The woke that keeps on giving. about 50 times for at least 400 big points. whenever stimulus hopes are reduced the market plummet because not immediate gratification. Its always just a matter of time until d's ,male.

D's male a money out of r's and gain the week prize by augmenting the stimulus and making r's looks like scrooge until the r's reluctantly split the difference at first and then capitulate entirely to d's there by sanctifying that collectivism is all powerful, gov all

Powerful and wise and the individual doesn't know how to handle choice and capital at all.

Main contagion is the spread of woke among all the swamp and those who live there. r's are infected –afraid to rock the boat- upset their friends. r's keep succumbing to absurd biased views of dr. cattle. Supremes afraid of riots so don't wish to rocker's afraid of media.

Is they cover the son of the big guy and if as said they demean themselves by letting public have choice and business except on the coasts continue without draconian restrictions. phil kerpen has proper statistics on these matters.

Todays blog would have had prediction of seasonality in gold, review of NY posts tips for buying dogs and going with the sharps near the game and playing the under. all with direct correspondence to trading . also beautiful discussion of descent with modification form Princeton.

Guide to evolution and detailed discussion of Harvard trying to encourage aluminic to buy 10 venture capital pools they make up. Sure symptom of swan song of venture capital as Harvard has worst investment record of all by eschewing buying index funds and paying exorbitant.

One absurdity of Harvard fees to their employees is that they don't take into account the cost of raising capital. a normal hedge fund pays 10% fo the marketing manager who raises their money. Harvard is able to pull the wool over all the naïve profs by paying many employees.

20 times what the highest professor received. H points out that their adviser beat their bogey by x% and therefore made the endowment 20 million more than if had just bought an etf. you'd think that some prof would have the sense to point out the 100 flaws in this reasoning.

One wishes he had a fund of 50 billion under management and was paid inventive on how much a sector beats the bogey ( without regard to the misses) without regard to the funds the appeared from Heaven.

The Good one can only guess on how many fees are embedded in the 10 venture capital funds they offer to their naïve alumni . on the inside cover an ad for these funds of h magazine. you wouldn't believe things like this unless it was clear on the front cover.

Of course the below about H is just my opinion . however I would speculate that any errors I have made that paint a darker picture are counterbalanced many fold by darker items I have left out.

All attorneys should receive a course in the statistics with particular reference to what is the p probability of recording a sample of 10000 + where the percentage on one side is say 90% and another sample has a % on one side of (say 60% a knowledge of the binomial theorem and an ability to run rudimentary simulations is a good starter. the standard error of the outcome of observed from a sample of 10000 with p of 1/2 is 50 … If you observe say 5500 heads rather than the expected 5000 the chances of this occurring by chance is approx. 1 in billion.

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/28/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Victor Hansen predicts that the progressives are holding their fire until after the Georgia elections and then they will

Lower the bam and reveal some of the dark things that the big guy enfolds and this would be bearish for the market I think in the second week of Jan.

Dec

30

Tweets-Dec/27/2020

December 30, 2020 | Leave a Comment

Wiswell proverbs for board games , life, and markets inspired by Mr. Srivatsan. 1 " if you see a good move(trade) don't market it look for a better one: if you see a better move, don't make it. look for the best. 2.I know one player, player who does not smoke, cigars, cigarettes or a pipe. Dr. Marion Tinsley and his game is much better for it( he is generally considered the best checker player of all time. 3.Winning a loss. " a win is a win is a win". 4.Some are destroyed by defeat and some are made small by victory. Greatness lies on one who triumphs equally over defeat and victory (is) 5.Houdinie once said that checkers was the only riddle he could not solve.6 the real secret of patience is to continue thinking while its your opponents move not just when it's your move, your game is often less strong in the ending than it appeared in the opening. the truth of the matter is that it was lost in the middle.7. If you strike strike at a king. you must kill him, half measures will not work. 8. Some players set traps in the opening that in the end lead to their defeat. 9. It is always wise to remember that your opponent may be just as scheming as you. 10. Protect your own double corner, and use your use your single corner to attach your opponents double corner. remember a player with a strong double corner is double hard to corner. 11. a million years ago: the good old days. so many moves , so many variations, so many friends( now Wiswell and I will put on our hats and study some more) 

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