6950, from Ani Sachdev [Updated]

February 15, 2026 |

I counted the number of crossings of the ES future past 6950. I counted the using the nearest expiry future. I counted using 30 min increments. Since October 29, 2025:

ES crossed from close to close across 6950, 78 times. 39 times up, 39 times down - true Logbola.

ES traded through and touched 6950 at any time at least 154 times (counted when there was low < 6950 < high).

Curious if any specs have used data like this to predict future prices.

Zubin Al writes:

14 hourly crosses night and open [Friday, 13 Feb.].

Cagdas Tuna comments:

I find the fact that whether call it NY Fed or Blackrock or other main street banks whoever single handedly controls and manage to keep VIX below 20 that is ultimate power controls the US stock market.

Larry Williams responds:

No one is holding anything down—or up—my vix fix is essentially same as $vix it cannot be controlled.

Cagdas Tuna is skeptical:

Yes, nothing is controlled!

Zubin Al Genubi prefers market dynamics:

Vix suppression is caused by: 1) heavy ODTE trade, while VIX is calculated on options 23-37 days out; 2) dispersion in SP index (dispersion meaning Mag 7 vs other 493; see RTY almost up 2%); 3) Big fund/ETF imbalances balancing deltas; 4) mean reversion of VIX/and buy the dip, which can break down at some point.

Larry Williams gets cosmic:

The universe is always expanding, Hawking proved. Stocks are part of that.

Comments

1 Comment so far

ANDRE WALLIN on February 13, 2026 10:15 am
but can you predict how many times it crosses and the masses use it to trade thus causing the form to change?

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