Nov
23
Suprises, from Nils Poertner
November 23, 2025 |
Whether it is the "Mambani win", Brexit, Covid, Ukraine war, whatever - had someone told me 6 months before that this could happen - the answer would have been "no-way…" whereas in 20-20 hindsight - it is always like "oh yes, there were obvious signs."
Zubin Al Genubi responds:
History is made on the edges by outliers which shifts the averages way over in its direction.
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