Sep
21
Polls vs odds, greatness
September 21, 2023 |
the old gray mare manages to go against the news and victory laps of his opponents by increasing his odds of winning. the poles are not 1/10 as good as the odds for predicting.
Greatness by Dean K. Simonton is an interesting book deeply flawed by its failure to consider multiple comparisons and its desire to virtue signal. however, it contains 1000 intriguing relations such as height-intelligence correlation and marriage achievement.
Toscanini remembering every score he has ever played and 10,000 songs needed for mastery (examples of unusual correlations).
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