Mar

5

"the search for a foolproof system is in vain. there will never be a foolproof system." - vn and tw.

very good advice from bacon and all speculators and gamblers:

Some amateur players carry inconsistency to such a degree that they demand consistency from the horses, while at the same time being utterly inconsistent in their methods of play. It's not the races that beat these players — it's the switches!

Racing is simple. Everything about the game is logical and common sense and elementary. All the figuring and the mathematics and the mechanics of racing can be understood by a child in junior-high school. But the game is decked out in an endless number of minor contradictions and open switches and deadfall traps, in order to lure the average player into doing everything wrong .

If the average player — the public play — kept out of all these switches and traps, then the powers-that-be would have to make the game far more complicated in order to insure the fact that the majority of players (as we learned in a previous chapter) continue to lose and thus continue to furnish money to keep up the game.

The amateurs who play so carelessly and who fall into all the wrong switches, do not stop to consider the percentages of their rightful losses. When an amateur goes to the track and loses nine bets (eight races and a daily double) and loses all his capital for the day, he has lost many times what the percentage calls for. He has no right to lose so much. It's almost as if he did it on purpose!

- Secrets of Professional Turf Betting

and just when you are ready to give up at the bottom or top, get ready for a change.

as you get nearer the King's row, you remember all your victories vividly (whether they happened or not).

ratio of Europeans like dax to sp at an all time hi.

I remember my 6 gold rackets (an important tourney in my day where my opponent tried to kill me by hitting at my head just when he was about to lose) which reminds me of the turn around in sp today.

Vic's X/twitter feed


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