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The Chairman
Victor Niederhoffer
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12-Mar-06
Book Review: Winning Ugly
After my recent writings on such things as social insects,
evolution, cladification, hydraulics, technology, roulette,
marketing, herding, communication theory, herding, piracy,
military strategy and opera, I felt it was high time to
return to the one thing that I really know about -- the
lessons from racquet sports. Thus, it was a pleasure to come
across the 1993 book on the mental game of tennis, Winning
Ugly by Brad Gilbert and Steve Jamison. We all have much to
learn from any book by a player who beat Conners and was
confronted by him in the locker room afterward in his
jockstrap shouting, "You shouldn't be on the same court with
me!" and whose victory over McEnroe prompted McEnroe vow to
quit the game forever at the age of 27 (and actually do so
for six months) or who beat Boris Becker while Becker cursed in German
about the humidity and the low-flying planes.
Indeed, the subject of the lessons from games is one of the most valuable
for all specinvestors because games are developed to teach us through childhood
play the universal things that will help us become competent in our life. To
keep it simple, here are 11 useful lessons that I learned from Winning Ugly:
- Keep the eye on the ball. Gilbert recommends forgetting about the player
and following the ball on the serve. I tried it and found that it gives you a
split second of extra starting time that is key to proper positioning. I would
suggest that this is analogous to watching the open rather than the call. So
often , we wait for that great or terrible opening call to be realized, or that
terrible reaction to the number that you know should ensue, and miss the trade
entirely.
- Bring proper equipment to the game. Gilbert has a list that for openers
includes water, eight rackets (including two with lower and higher tension),
energy food, Ibuprofin, Flex-All, chemical ice, towels, sweatbands, extra grips,
shoelaces, Band-Aids, cap with visor, dry shirts, socks and sneakers, and pen
and notebook. What do you bring as a trader to the opening of the game? Might I
suggest that if Gilbert will go all out to win $5,000 in a match, your own
efforts to prepare for the trading session might be just as careful? Be prepared
with everything you conceivably might need -- make up your own list -- but
strangely, many of the same items that Gilbert mentions might be useful. I would
add such things as studies, financial numbers, position sheets, previous games
against your trading opponent, a plan for the day, a limit as to how many and
where you will trade, alternate communication links, a backup personage for when
you leave the room, a phone intercept, music and food.
- Keep a notebook handy at all times to record your thoughts about your
opponent. Gilbert does this during the game, and I would suggest that this would
be an excellent thing for specs to do -- but your good ideas will come to you at
all times. Carrying a notepad has the further advantage of convincing those you
have contact with that you are a man of respect.
- First points are key. Gilbert says that among top players, the person
who takes the lead first wins 85% of the time. He believes that an early
lead gets the adversary to play defensive and overly pressing tennis. I believe
that in trading when you start out with a profit you become much stronger during
the rest of the match as you can withstand a greater loss, and the adversary has
to extend himself much greater with his mini-booms and busts to squeeze you out.
- Practice hard before you play. Gilbert has a most unsportsmanlike workout
he likes to go through which I deplore, involving getting your opponent to hit
it to you first at the net, then hit you lobs and cross-courts and serves so
that by the time you play the game you're thoroughly warmed up. I like the idea
of preparing everything in advance, even to the extent of entering your orders
before the session starts so that you won't, in the heat of the moment, miss the
big ones. Certainly you should go over all conceivable contingencies before the
game starts.
- Some points are much more important than others. Gilbert believes that
these are the advantage points and the points that lead up to them. My friend
Martie Riesman, the champion table tennis player, believes the same thing, and
so did Christy
Mathewson in Pitching in the Pinch. To me, every point is key, but who am I
to argue? Certainly there are key times in the market, I would include the first
20 minutes, the intervals before 11 a.m., and the opening relative to the call
as key points here. Also what the market does at the beginning of a period
versus the end.
- Recognize your opportunity. Analyze what's involved, then capitalize on
it. That's the Gilbert formula that he applies before, during and after the
match. I guess this would be similar to what I consider the key to the spec
world: Ask the right questions and then test. But the recognition part, trying
to keep an open mind as to when, what and where the questions come from, would
augment my guidelines, and it's something that I'll try to improve upon.
- Be your own doubles partner. Partners in a good doubles team talk
to each other about 90 times during a match. Do remind yourself to do the right thing, to
prepare for your opponent's strengths, to move to the right position, to give
the key points your all during the trading day.
- Play to your opponent's strengths and weakness. This is key to Gilbert's
success. And he has guidelines for playing against the retriever, the player
with speed, the attack to your backhand, the good server, the excellent return
of serves, the serve volley player, the weak server, the lefty and the heater
(the player who makes the point last less than 3 seconds the way they do at
Wimbledon). Think of who is on the other side of your trades -- is it a dealer
or a market maker, a chronic, a charlatrendist? -- and act accordingly. Have a
plan for dealing with each.
- Learn from the experts. Gilbert has a chapter on what he learned from
Agassiz (hit them on the rise), Lendl (vary the pace), Connors (go for the
opponent's weaknesses and return serve properly) Becker (go for the lead and be
aggressive). There are many books about how the experts trade. I would think
that most of the material in such books is promotional or misinformation, but
occasionally in an interview or by analyzing their objective actions, say in the
positions of trader's reports, you can glean some information that is not out of
date or designed to mislead.
- Be tournament-tough. Here's a potpourri of catchwords from Gilbert:
desire, dedication diligence, mental management, get the early edge, play smart,
don't let the other player upset you, have a plan for every aspect of your
tennis, mental preparation, stretching warm up, the start of your match, don't
rush. All these things are key to success.
Gilbert is to be complimented on a masterful book. Everyone who's seen
Gilbert play has the same reaction: "How the Hades did this man win? He hits
like a caveman!" I can think of no type of player better to learn from. Anyone
who reads Winning Ugly and applies the lessons to his own games and pursuits
will find many beautiful outcomes arising from this ugliness.
More by Victor Niederhoffer