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Nov. 19, 2004

Dick Sears: Weekly Commentary
Thanksgiving Break

Friday was one of the few truly bad days in
the last five weeks, but it didn't keep the GTI
from finishing the week in the black (but just
barely), for its fifth win in a row.

The best performing GTI stocks over these
five weeks have been AMD (up 49%), KEYW
(up 46%), MVIS (up 35%), PWER (up 35%),
LNOP (up 32%), and SYNA (up 29%).

The under performers have been BWNG
(down 22%), ZRAN (down 12%), MCDTA
(down 10%), QCOM (down 6%), and JDSU
(down 5%). But QCOM need not apologize.
It is up 49% year to date.

On Wednesday, the GTI crossed over into
the black for the year, but it didn't last. We'll
try again next week.

It's natural to have a break after so many
good sessions, of course, but other than
that I see no reason why we can't keep
going up for quite a while. Bear in mind,
though, that I'm an inveterate optimist and
no more able to predict the market than
anyone else. If I could, do you think I'd be
doing this? Hell, no, I'd be in my villa in the
south of France. Well, not France, they're
weasels. Come to think of it, there's
nowhere I'd rather be than right here.

In any event, let us pause for thanksgiving.
We have much for which to be thankful.


Returns for Week Ended November 19

Gilder Technology Index (GTI):  + 0.3%
Nasdaq Composite Index (NSD):  - 0.7%
S&P 500 Index (S&P):  - 1.2%