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April 4, 2005

Dick Sears: Weekly Commentary
March Madness

March was an angry month.  Instead of
a march it was a retreat.  2005 continues
to be a disappointing year.

But look on the bright side. Wednesday
produced a rally to warm the heart. It was
the market's best day in some four months.
It felt like old times.

Perhaps it's a sign that the winter ice is
finally breaking. Perhaps before too long
we'll look back at this time and smile.

But for now, all we can do is shake our
heads and lament the poor performance
of so many of our stocks.

The table below shows the first quarter
return for each of the stocks in the GTI.
In the case of companies that were not
in the GTI for the full period, the return
is for the GTI portion only.

Symbol

1st Quarter
Return

Note

NSM

+ 15%

 

TERN

+ 14%

 

WIND

+ 11%

 

CHRT

+ 4%

Dropped 2/11

TXN

+ 4%

 

GLW

+ 2%

Added 3/25

NETL

+ 2%

Added 1/28

TSM

- 0%

 

INTC

- 1%

 

EQIX

- 1%

 

SKM

- 1%

Added 2/11

XLNX

- 1%

 

ADI

- 2%

 

CPHD

- 3%

 

ALTR

- 4%

 

BRCM

- 7%

 

A

- 8%

 

FON

- 8%

 

SMI

- 9%

 

ZRAN

- 11%

 

FLEX

- 13%

 

QCOM

- 14%

 

MVIS

- 17%

 

KEYW

- 19%

 

SYNA

- 24%

 

AMD

- 27%

 

LNOP

- 43%

 

PWER

- 46%

 

JDSU

- 47%

 

BWNG

- 55%

 

Returns for Week Ended April 1:

Gilder Technology Index (GTI):  - 0.8%
Nasdaq Composite Index (NSD):  - 0.3%
S&P 500 Index (S&P): 
+ 0.1%

Historical Returns:

  GTI    NSD  S&P 
1997 (est'd) 21% 22% 31%
1998 (est'd) 48% 40%  27%
1999 284% 86%  20%
2000 - 44% - 39% - 10%
2001  - 43% - 21%  - 13%
2002 - 56% - 32% - 23%
2003  130% 50% 26%
2004   3% 9%    9%
2005 to Date  - 12.2% - 8.8% - 3.2%
Avg for 8+ yrs  8.7%  5.4% 5.7%
Last 52 wks - 19%  - 4% 3%
Since the high
of 3/06/00
- 82% - 61% - 23%
Since the low
of 10/09/02
211% 78% 51%

Makeup of the GTI:

The GTI companies are those "Telecosm
Technologies" in the Gilder Technology
Report whose stock is readily available to
investors. If a company is not traded on the
NYSE, AMEX, or NASDAQ National Market,
it is not in the GTI.

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