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| Current Year's Returns Based on Prior Years Performance | |||||||
| ADJUSTED FOR SURVIVOR BIAS | |||||||
| At each year-end, S&P 500 stocks were sorted into 5 quintiles based on prior | |||||||
| 12 months performance. | |||||||
| Group | Previous Year | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -34.17% | 4.12% | -0.33% | -3.32% | 2.13% | 4.33% | |
| Quintle 2 | -8.52% | 1.68% | -0.88% | 0.37% | 4.28% | 6.95% | |
| Quintle 3 | 7.51% | 0.47% | -0.68% | 0.38% | 3.59% | 4.02% | |
| Quintle 4 | 25.89% | 0.31% | -0.63% | 2.07% | 3.61% | 3.88% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 80.54% | -0.95% | -0.18% | 4.66% | 4.98% | 7.55% | |
| Returns Grouped by Year : | |||||||
| 1998 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 1997 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -16.83% | 0.21% | -3.44% | 17.58% | 7.27% | -1.36% | |
| Quintle 2 | 10.59% | -0.96% | -1.37% | 12.91% | 6.93% | 5.73% | |
| Quintle 3 | 26.74% | -2.10% | -0.72% | 14.02% | 11.92% | 2.60% | |
| Quintle 4 | 42.80% | -0.51% | -0.60% | 13.22% | 12.37% | 10.88% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 79.61% | -1.14% | -0.54% | 16.99% | 22.02% | 39.70% | |
| 1999 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 1998 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -32.02% | 5.74% | -4.72% | -0.29% | 19.59% | 5.07% | |
| Quintle 2 | -8.45% | 3.78% | -4.21% | -0.36% | 11.24% | 2.22% | |
| Quintle 3 | 6.86% | 1.90% | -3.77% | -1.31% | 11.60% | 8.80% | |
| Quintle 4 | 27.29% | 2.84% | -3.99% | 2.46% | 8.03% | 5.69% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 85.62% | 1.61% | -3.50% | 6.27% | 8.89% | 22.72% | |
| 2000 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 1999 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -38.82% | 0.65% | 0.25% | -8.52% | -5.58% | 13.37% | |
| Quintle 2 | -17.90% | -0.22% | -1.47% | -4.53% | -2.98% | 15.67% | |
| Quintle 3 | -0.43% | -0.42% | 0.41% | -4.08% | -5.29% | 4.33% | |
| Quintle 4 | 22.92% | -0.69% | 1.59% | 0.50% | -2.83% | 2.41% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 142.40% | -3.85% | 3.40% | 10.94% | 1.09% | -15.39% | |
| 2001 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 2000 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -47.60% | 6.22% | 6.57% | -11.83% | 1.21% | -2.27% | |
| Quintle 2 | -16.06% | 1.14% | 0.88% | -2.54% | 4.55% | 4.48% | |
| Quintle 3 | 8.55% | -1.23% | 0.26% | -6.33% | -0.26% | -1.80% | |
| Quintle 4 | 33.13% | -5.59% | -0.86% | -0.54% | 3.71% | -3.65% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 84.18% | -9.44% | 1.13% | -6.01% | -4.31% | -12.04% | |
| 2002 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 2001 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -45.12% | 5.01% | -4.45% | -1.81% | -26.41% | -36.00% | |
| Quintle 2 | -15.66% | 1.43% | -1.96% | 8.31% | -1.01% | -15.12% | |
| Quintle 3 | -3.04% | 0.94% | -2.37% | 5.15% | -2.26% | -16.73% | |
| Quintle 4 | 9.96% | 1.37% | -1.98% | 4.84% | -4.10% | -16.73% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 51.87% | 0.77% | -3.02% | 9.56% | 2.13% | -9.81% | |
| 2003 Performance | |||||||
| Group | 2002 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 12 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -58.32% | 10.22% | 3.40% | -19.02% | 15.76% | 46.64% | |
| Quintle 2 | -29.25% | 6.21% | 1.16% | -12.32% | 7.24% | 30.53% | |
| Quintle 3 | -15.67% | 3.80% | 0.36% | -7.87% | 6.29% | 23.77% | |
| Quintle 4 | -1.89% | 3.05% | -0.26% | -6.80% | 4.71% | 22.92% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 16.04% | 2.50% | -0.28% | -5.04% | 5.98% | 25.16% | |
| 2004 Performance* | |||||||
| Group | 2003 Return | Week 1 | Week 2 | 3 Mos | 6 Mos | 11 Mos | |
| Quntile 1: "Losers" | -0.46% | 0.76% | 0.06% | 0.61% | 3.04% | 4.86% | |
| Quintle 2 | 17.11% | 0.37% | 0.78% | 1.10% | 3.98% | 5.18% | |
| Quintle 3 | 29.54% | 0.40% | 1.11% | 3.08% | 3.09% | 7.17% | |
| Quintle 4 | 47.01% | 1.70% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 3.36% | 5.65% | |
| Quntile 5: "Winners" | 104.06% | 2.89% | 1.51% | -0.07% | -0.95% | 2.50% | |