Daily Speculations
'Market Neutral' Funds: A Spec reflects on claims that market-neutral funds can tame volatility and generate alpha, and finds them either self-deceptive or hubristic. (2/5/4)
Market neutral funds strike me as
being a double con. However, sometimes it's a con on the
public and sometimes the con is self deception or hubris.
The first con is the claim that they can tame volatility and fully understand
correlations. Was not this the self-deceit of delta hedging/
portfolio insurers before Oct '87 and LTCM? As Vic implied, in
the world of Sharpe ratio being king, is not the incentive to
feign controlling volatility
great. Was not this the con that enabled Enron to achieve its
height? He who controls history/volatility rules the world.
The second con, generally different from fund to fund, is
that they generate alpha by some highly marketable but dubious
strategy. But this is how they expose their hand, showing that
it is not innocent over enthusiastic self-deceit. (R.D.S.)