| MOVES IN THE NEXT MONTH IN BONDS & SP | |||||||
| AFTER ALL MONTHLY DECLINES IN BONDS | |||||||
| April 1982 - July 2003 Montly Closing Prices in Futures | |||||||
| (t) = Current Month's Move | |||||||
| Bonds (t) | SP (t) | Bonds (t+1) | SP (t+1) | ||||
| Points | Points | Points | Points | ||||
| 6/30/2003 | 117 11/32 | 973.3 | |||||
| 7/29/2003 | 107 2/32 | 989.1 | |||||
| Curr Move | -10 9/32 | + 15.8 | |||||
| Bonds (t) | SP (t) | SP (t+1) | SP (t+3) | ||||
| Rank | Monthend | Points | Points | Points | Points | ||
| 1 | 5/30/1986 | -6 28/32 | + 12.8 | + 6.7 | + 6.8 | ||
| 2 | 2/26/1999 | -6 17/32 | - 46.0 | + 57.8 | + 61.7 | ||
| 3 | 3/31/1994 | -6 6/32 | - 19.4 | + 3.6 | - 1.7 | ||
| 4 | 2/29/1996 | -6 3/32 | + 0.3 | + 13.0 | + 28.7 | ||
| 5 | 3/29/2002 | -5 30/32 | + 42.3 | - 72.0 | - 159.1 | ||
| 6 | 9/30/1986 | -5 27/32 | - 23.8 | + 14.1 | + 12.3 | ||
| 7 | 9/30/1987 | -5 26/32 | - 7.9 | - 66.5 | - 77.5 | ||
| 8 | 11/30/2001 | -5 21/32 | + 79.3 | + 9.2 | + 4.9 | ||
| 9 | 8/31/1990 | -5 17/32 | - 36.5 | - 19.6 | - 2.3 | ||
| 10 | 4/30/1987 | -5 13/32 | - 1.8 | + 0.0 | + 33.4 | ||
| Avg | -6 | - 0.1 | - 5.4 | - 9.3 | |||
| Std Dev | 14/32 | + 35.6 | + 36.8 | + 60.4 | |||